Will Artificial Intelligence (AI) make customers immortal, or extinct? Or you and I for that matter? In this video, narrated by Stephen Fry and created by Pindex, Elon Musk, Stephen Hawking and other visionaries and scientists all warn of the day when AI will surpass human intelligence.
This “day of reckoning” is closer than we think. A team of researchers from Yale University and Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute recently set off to determine when it will happen. They surveyed 352 industry leaders and academics to get their predictions for when AI will hit certain milestones.
The findings, which the team published in a recent study, indicate that AI will be capable of performing any task as well or better than humans – otherwise known as high-level machine intelligence – by 2060 and will overtake all human jobs by 2136. In short, AI will become smarter than its human creators.
Elon Musk, who’s been outspoken about the fears of AI, was recently quoted on Twitter as saying that the AI will overtake human intelligence “probably closer to 2030 to 2040 in my opinion; 2060 would be a linear extrapolation, but progress is exponential.”
“I hope I’m wrong,” says Musk who has been a vocal critic of AI describing Matrix-meets-Terminator-like scenarios in which it becomes weaponised or outsmarts humans and leads to their extinction. To ensure AI is used for good Musk co-founded OpenAI, a non-profit organisation.
Musk’s own firm, Tesla, is one of the companies leading the charge in creating self-driving, or autonomous, vehicles. Experts polled in the study predicted that AI will become better at driving trucks than humans in 2027.
AI will also surpass humans in a number of other milestones, the experts suggested, including: translating languages (2024), writing high-school level essays (2026), and performing surgeries (2053). They estimated that it would be able to write a New York Times bestseller in 2049.
In May this year, Google’s AlphaGo machinewon a game of Go against China’s Ke Jie, widely considered to be the world’s best player. An AI system created by scientists at Carnegie Mellon also won $2 million from top poker players in a tournament.